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Special Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1010 AM EDT Tue Aug 29 2023

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Special outlook issued to update discussion on the system over the 
central subtropical Atlantic

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane 
Franklin, located several hundred miles west-southwest of Bermuda, 
and on Hurricane Idalia, located over the southeastern Gulf of 
Mexico.

1. Central Subtropical Atlantic (AL92):
Updated: Recent satellite-derived wind data indicate an area of low 
pressure located several hundred miles east-southeast of Bermuda has 
become better defined and is producing winds of 30 to 35 mph over 
the eastern portion of its circulation. The associated shower and 
thunderstorm activity continues to show signs of organization, and a 
short-lived tropical depression is likely to form today while the 
system moves slowly northward over the central subtropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent.

2. Eastern Tropical Atlantic:
A tropical wave located just off the west coast of Africa is 
producing an area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms. 
Environmental conditions appear marginally conducive for gradual 
development of this system, and a tropical depression could form 
later in the week while the system moves west-northwestward to 
northwestward across the eastern tropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent.

Forecaster Reinhart