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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 AM PDT Wed Aug 23 2023

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

1. South of Southern Mexico:
An elongated area of showers and thunderstorms located several 
hundred miles south of the coast of southern Mexico is associated 
with a trough of low pressure.  Environmental conditions appear 
favorable for gradual development of this system, and a tropical 
depression is likely to form within the next two to three days while 
it moves slowly to the northwest or north-northwest.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent.

2. Central East Pacific:
An area of low pressure could form well south-southwest of the 
southern tip of the Baja California Peninsula within the next day or 
two.  Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for some 
gradual development of this system later this week and this weekend 
while it moves west-northwestward over the central portion of the 
tropical eastern Pacific.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.

Forecaster Brown