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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 PM PDT Tue Aug 15 2023

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane 
Fernanda, located several hundred miles west-southwest of the 
southern tip of the Baja California peninsula.

1. Off the Coast of Southwestern Mexico (EP90):
Showers and thunderstorms are beginning to show signs of 
organization in association with a broad area of low pressure 
located a few hundred miles south of Acapulco, Mexico.  
Environmental conditions appear conducive for continued development, 
and a tropical depression or tropical storm is anticipated to form 
within the next day or so. The system is expected to move 
west-northwestward to northwestward, roughly parallel to the coast 
of southwestern Mexico and the Baja California peninsula during the 
next several days.  Additional information on this system, including 
gale warnings, can be found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the 
National Weather Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent.

2. South of Central America and Southern Mexico:
An area of low pressure could form south of the Gulf of Tehuantepec 
over the weekend. Some gradual development of this system is 
possible thereafter while it moves generally west-northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.

High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service
can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFEPI, WMO header FZPN02 
KWBC, and on the web at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFEPI.php 

Forecaster Cangialosi