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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 PM PDT Sat Aug 12 2023

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on recently 
upgraded Tropical Storm Fernanda, located several hundred miles 
south-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California 
peninsula. 

1. Western East Pacific (EP99): 
A broad area of low pressure located about 1500 miles east- 
southeast of the Hawaiian Islands continues to produce disorganized 
showers and thunderstorms.  Environmental conditions are expected 
to remain conducive for development, and a tropical depression is 
likely to form within the next couple of days.  The system is 
forecast to move west or west-northwestward at about 10 mph across 
the far western portion of the basin through Sunday, and then cross 
into the Central Pacific basin Sunday night.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent.

2. Off the Coast of Southern Mexico:
Disorganized showers and thunderstorms over the far eastern 
portion of the east Pacific are associated with a tropical wave. 
Environmental conditions appear conducive for development over the 
next several days, and a tropical depression is expected to form 
during the early or middle part of next week while it moves 
generally west-northwestward, roughly parallel to the coast of 
southern and southwestern Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent.

Public Advisories on Fernanda are issued under WMO header WTPZ32 
KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPEP2. 
Forecast/Advisories on Fernanda are issued under WMO header WTPZ22 
KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMEP2. 

Forecaster Brown