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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 AM PDT Fri Jul 7 2023
For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:
1. Offshore of Southwestern Mexico (EP93):
Showers and thunderstorms associated with a broad area of low
pressure located several hundred miles south-southwest of
Manzanillo, Mexico, are gradually becoming better organized.
However, satellite imagery suggests that the circulation of the
low is elongated and lacks a well-defined center at this time.
Environmental conditions are expected to remain conducive for
additional development, and a tropical depression is likely to
form within the next day or so while the disturbance moves
generally west-northwestward, away from the coast of mainland
Mexico. Additional information on this system, including gale
warnings, can be found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National
Weather Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent.
2. Offshore of Southern Mexico:
A trough of low pressure located well south-southeast of
southeastern Mexico is producing disorganized showers and
thunderstorms. Environmental conditions are forecast to be
conducive for gradual development during the next several days,
and a tropical depression is likely to form early next week. The
system is expected to move westward to west-northwestward parallel
to, but well offshore, of the coast of southern Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent.
High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service
can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFEPI, WMO header FZPN02
KWBC, and on the web at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFEPI.php
Forecaster Brown