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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 AM PDT Sun Jun 25 2023

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

1. Off the Southwestern Coast of Mexico: 
An elongated trough of low pressure located several hundred miles 
south of the southwestern coast of Mexico continues to produce a 
large area of showers and thunderstorms. This activity remains 
disorganized, but environmental conditions still appear generally 
favorable for gradual development of this broad system. A tropical 
depression is likely to form during the middle part of this week as 
the system moves generally west-northwestward, parallel to the 
southwestern coast of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent.

2. South of Southern Mexico:
An area of low pressure is expected to form over the next day or so 
several hundred miles south of El Salvador, Guatemala, and southern 
Mexico. Some gradual development of this system is possible 
thereafter, and a tropical depression could form during the middle 
to latter part of this week while it moves slowly 
west-northwestward, remaining offshore of the southern and 
southwestern coasts of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent.

Forecaster Papin