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Tropical Weather Outlook Text

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TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 AM PDT Tue Aug 3 2021

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on recently 
downgraded Tropical Storm Hilda, located about 1000 miles 
west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California 
peninsula, and on recently downgraded Tropical Depression Ignacio, 
located more than 400 miles west-southwest of the southern tip of 
the Baja California peninsula. 

1. A low pressure system associated with the remnants of Tropical 
Depression Nine-E is located more than 1500 miles west-southwest of 
the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula.  The associated 
shower activity is showing signs of organization, and environmental 
conditions are expected to remain conducive for additional 
development over the next couple of days.  A tropical depression is 
likely to form tonight or Wednesday while the system moves 
west-northwestward to northwestward at 5 to 10 mph.  By late 
Thursday, the system is forecast to move over cooler waters and 
further development by that time is not expected. 
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent. 
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.

2. An area of low pressure is expected to develop a few hundred miles 
south of the southern coast of Mexico late this week.  Environmental 
conditions are forecast to be conducive for gradual development 
thereafter while the system remains offshore and moves west- 
northwestward at 10 to 15 mph, roughly parallel to the coast of 
southwestern Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. 
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.

Forecaster Stewart




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