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Tropical Weather Outlook Text

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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 AM PDT Thu Jul 15 2021

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane 
Felicia, located about 800 miles southwest of the southern tip of 
the Baja California peninsula.

1. A broad area of low pressure has formed about 500 miles south of the 
coast of southern Mexico. Although there is a large area of 
associated showers and thunderstorms, this activity is currently 
disorganized.  However, environmental conditions are conducive for 
gradual development over the next several days, and a tropical 
depression is likely to form this weekend well offshore of the 
southwestern coast of Mexico, while the system moves westward or 
west-northwestward at around 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.

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