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Tropical Weather Outlook Text

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Special Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM PDT Sat Jun 12 2021

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Special tropical weather outlook issued to update the discussion of 
the low pressure system 1100 miles southwest of the southern tip of 
the Baja California peninsula.

1. Morning satellite imagery indicates that the broad area of low 
pressure located about 1100 miles southwest of the southern tip of 
the Baja California peninsula continues to become better organized. 
If this trend continues, advisories for a tropical depression could 
be initiated later today or tonight as the system moves slowly 
westward. Early next week, conditions are expected to become 
unfavorable for further development. 
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent. 
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.

2. Showers and thunderstorms remain poorly organized this morning in 
association with a broad area of low pressure located about a 
hundred miles south of Puerto Angel, Mexico. Environmental 
conditions appear somewhat conducive for some additional 
development, and a tropical depression could still form over the 
weekend, as long as the system remains over water while drifting 
northeastward. Heavy rainfall will be possible over portions of 
Central America and southern Mexico through early next week. See 
products from your local meteorological service for more 
information.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent. 
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.

Forecaster Latto




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