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Tropical Weather Outlook Text

ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 AM PDT Fri Aug 14 2020

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical 
Depression Ten-E, located about 1500 miles west-southwest of the 
southern tip of the Baja California peninsula.

1. An elongated area of low pressure stretches from a few hundred miles 
south of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula 
southwestward several hundred miles. The northeastern portion of the 
trough has slowly organized during the past couple of days and is 
producing persistent shower and thunderstorm activity. 
Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for 
development and a tropical depression is likely to form during the 
next day or so while the system moves west-northwestward or 
northwestward at 10 to 15 mph.  The system is forecast to move over 
colder waters over the weekend and further development is unlikely 
after that time.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.

2. The southwestern portion of the aforementioned trough is also 
producing a large are of disturbed weather nearly 1000 miles 
southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula.  
Environmental conditions are expected to be favorable for the 
development of this system and it could become a tropical depression 
while it moves slowly northward during the next few days. after that 
time.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent.

3. A trough of low pressure is producing disorganized showers and 
thunderstorms just offshore of the Pacific coast of Central America. 
Conditions are expected to be conducive for a low pressure system 
to develop from this trough over the next couple of days, and a 
tropical depression is likely to form this weekend or early next 
week while the system moves generally west-northwestward just 
offshore of the southwestern coast of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.

Public Advisories on Tropical Depression Ten-E are issued under WMO 
header WTPZ35 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPEP5.
Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Depression Ten-E are issued under 
WMO header WTPZ25 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMEP5.

Forecaster Zelinsky




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