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Tropical Weather Outlook Text

ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 AM PDT Sat Aug 10 2019

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

1. A trough of low pressure located about 100 miles south of Acapulco,
Mexico is producing a large area of showers and thunderstorms.
Environmental conditions could still favor some gradual development
during the next couple of days while the system moves
west-northwestward just off the southwestern coast of Mexico. After
that time, conditions are forecast to become unfavorable for
tropical cyclone formation. Regardless of development, the
disturbance will likely bring locally heavy rainfall along portions
of the southwestern coast of Mexico during the next couple of days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.

2. A broad area of low pressure has developed a few hundred miles
south-southwest of Manzanillo, Mexico and is producing disorganized
showers and thunderstorms. Some slow development of this system is
possible over the next few days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.

3. A tropical wave located a little less than 1000 miles south-
southwest of the Baja California peninsula is producing an area of
disorganized showers and thunderstorms.  Environmental conditions
are expected to become more conducive for tropical cyclone formation
early next week while the system moves westward or west-
northwestward at 10 to 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.

Forecaster Latto/Brown




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