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Tropical Weather Outlook Text


Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 PM PDT Fri Jul 19 2019

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

1. A large area of disturbed weather located several hundred miles
southwest of the southwestern coast of Mexico is associated with
a tropical wave.  Environmental conditions appear to be conducive
for gradual development during the next few days, and a tropical
depression is likely to form early next week.  This disturbance is
forecast to move westward to west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph,
away from the coast of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.

2. An elongated area of low pressure located more than 1600 miles
southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula is
producing a large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms.
Environmental conditions are becoming less conducive, and
significant development of this system is not expected while it
moves west-northwestward to northwestward at 10 to 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.

Forecaster Brown

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