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Tropical Weather Outlook Text

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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 AM PDT Fri Oct 20 2023

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane 
Norma, located a few hundred miles south-southeast of Cabo San 
Lucas, Mexico.

1. South of Southern Mexico (EP91):
A broad area of low pressure located several hundred miles south of 
the Gulf of Tehuantepec continues to produce large area of showers 
and thunderstorms, mainly over the western part of the circulation. 
Upper-level winds are forecast to become more conducive for 
development later this weekend, and a tropical depression will 
likely form by early next week. The system is forecast to meander 
during the next couple of days and then drift generally northward 
late this weekend and into early next week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent.

Forecaster Reinhart