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Tropical Weather Outlook Text


Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 AM PDT Wed May 25 2022

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

1. South of the Gulf of Tehuantepec:
Showers and thunderstorms remain disorganized in association with a 
surface trough located a few hundred miles south of the Gulf of 
Tehuantepec.  Environmental conditions are forecast to be conducive 
for gradual development, and a tropical depression is likely to 
form late this week or this weekend while the system moves 
west-northwestward or northwestward at 5 to 10 mph.  Interests in 
southern Mexico should monitor the progress of this system.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.

2. Central portion of the eastern Pacific: 
A trough of low pressure located several hundred miles off the coast 
of southwestern Mexico continues to produce disorganized showers and 
thunderstorms. Environmental conditions could support some slow 
development during the next day or so, but upper-level winds are 
forecast to become less conducive for further development by late 
this week while the system moves little. 
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

Forecaster Papin

List of Atlantic Outlooks (July 2014 - present)
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List of East Pacific Outlooks (June 2009 - June 2014)