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Tropical Weather Outlook Text


Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 PM PDT Tue Nov 2 2021

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

1. A broad area of low pressure has moved into the far eastern 
Pacific waters just off the coast of Costa Rica.  Environmental 
conditions are expected to be conducive for gradual development, and 
a tropical depression could form well south or southeast of the 
coast of southeastern Mexico late this week or this weekend. 
Regardless of development, the system is expected to produce locally 
heavy rainfall across portions of southern Nicaragua, Costa Rica, 
and Panama through Wednesday, which could result in flooding and 
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.

2. An area of disturbed weather is located several hundred miles 
south-southwest of Acapulco, Mexico.  Some slow development of this 
system is possible during the next several days while it moves 
westward to west-northwestward at 5 to 10 mph well to the south of 
the southern coast of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.

Forecaster Pasch

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