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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 AM PDT Tue Sep 7 2021
For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:
1. Showers and thunderstorms associated with a broad area of low
pressure located a couple of hundred miles southwest of Manzanillo,
Mexico, continue to show some signs of organization. Environmental
conditions are conducive for additional development, and this system
is likely to become a tropical depression during the next day or so
while it moves generally west-northwestward at 5 to 10 mph, just
offshore of the coast of Mexico. Regardless of development, outer
rainbands from the disturbance are likely to produce locally heavy
rainfall and gusty winds along the coast of the Mexican states of
Colima and Jalisco through Tuesday. Additional information on this
system can be found in the High Seas Forecast issued by the
National Weather Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.
2. Shower activity is limited in association with a small low pressure
area located about 900 miles southwest of the southern tip of the
Baja California. Development, if any, of this system is likely to
be slow over the next day or so while it drifts northward. After
that time, environmental conditions are expected to become
unfavorable for further development.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.
High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be
found under AWIPS header NFDHSFEPI, WMO header FZPN02 KWBC, and on
the web at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFEPI.php