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Tropical Weather Outlook Text


Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 PM PDT Mon Aug 24 2020

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

1. An elongated zone of disturbed weather is located several hundred 
miles south-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California 
peninsula.  Environmental conditions appear conducive for a 
tropical depression to form later this week while the system 
meanders or drifts northward a few hundred miles offshore of the 
coast of southwestern Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.

2. A small low pressure system located near the Gulf of Tehuantepec 
continues to show signs of organization.  This low is forecast to 
meander or move slowly west-northwestward near the southern coast of 
Mexico, and a tropical depression is likely to form over the next 
day or two, assuming the center of circulation remains offshore.  
Regardless of development, areas of heavy rainfall and flash 
flooding are likely in southeastern Mexico and northern Central 
America during the next several days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.

Forecaster Pasch

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