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Tropical Weather Outlook Text


1100 AM PDT FRI SEP 25 2015

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

1. An area of low pressure located just south of the coast of Guatemala
is producing showers and gusty winds over portions of southern
Guatemala and El Salvador, primarily near the coast. There has been
little change in organization today, and significant development of
this low appears unlikely due to its interaction with land while it
moves slowly northwestward. Regardless of tropical cyclone
formation, this system will continue to produce heavy rains over
portions of El Salvador, southern Guatemala, and southeastern Mexico
during the next few days.  These rains could cause life-threatening
flash floods and mud slides.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent

2. Showers and thunderstorms associated with a broad area of low
pressure located several hundred miles south of Acapulco, Mexico,
remain disorganized.  This low, however, is likely to develop into a
tropical depression late this weekend or early next week while it
moves northward toward the southern coast of Mexico.  Interests in
that region should monitor the progress of this disturbance during
the next several days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent

Forecaster Cangialosi

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