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Tropical Weather Outlook Text

1100 AM PDT SUN SEP 21 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Polo, located about a hundred miles southwest of the southern
tip of the Baja California peninsula.

1. Showers and thunderstorm activity associated with a low pressure
area located several hundred miles south of the Gulf of Tehuantepec
has become better organized this morning.  Environmental conditions
are conducive for further development of this system, and a tropical
depression is likely to form during the next several days as the low
moves west-northwestward around 10 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...near 30 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...60 percent.

Forecaster Kimberlain

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