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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
100 PM EST Wed Nov 22 2023

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. Central Subtropical Atlantic:
An area of low pressure is expected to develop along a frontal 
boundary over the central subtropical Atlantic in a day or so. This 
non-tropical low is forecast to move southeastward across the 
central subtropical Atlantic over warmer sea surface temperatures 
during the next couple of days, and environmental conditions are 
marginally conducive for this system to acquire tropical or 
subtropical characteristics. A subtropical or tropical storm could 
form by the latter part of this week or this weekend, as the system 
turns northeastward by the weekend.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent.

Forecaster Kelly