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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
700 AM EST Wed Nov 22 2023

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. Central Subtropical Atlantic:
An area of low pressure is expected to develop along a frontal 
boundary over the central subtropical Atlantic in a day or so. This 
non-tropical low is forecast to move southeastward across the 
central subtropical Atlantic over warmer sea surface temperatures 
during the next few days, and environmental conditions could allow 
for this system to gradually acquire tropical or subtropical 
characteristics. A subtropical or tropical storm could form by the 
latter part of this week or this weekend, as the system turns 
northeastward by the weekend.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent.

Forecaster Kelly