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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Mon Oct 30 2023

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. Southwestern Atlantic Ocean (AL96):
Satellite data indicate that the low pressure system located a 
couple of hundred miles east-northeast of the central Bahamas 
continues to produce an area of gale-force winds on its northeast 
side.  However, the associated showers and thunderstorms remain 
disorganized.  This system is moving into an area of strong 
upper-level winds and dry air, and the chances of it becoming a 
short-lived tropical storm appear to be decreasing.  The low is 
expected to move slowly west-northwestward today and then turn 
northward and northeastward on Tuesday and Wednesday.  Additional 
information on this system, including gale warnings, can be found in 
High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service. 
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.

2. Southwestern Caribbean Sea:
An area of disturbed weather has formed over the eastern Caribbean 
Sea.  This system is expected to move westward during the next 
several days, and environmental conditions appear conducive for 
gradual development.  A tropical depression could form late this 
week when the system reaches the central or southwestern Caribbean 
Sea.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. 
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.

High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service
can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 
KWBC, and online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php

Forecaster Cangialosi