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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Fri Oct 27 2023
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
1. Northwestern Atlantic (Post-Tropical Cyclone Tammy):
A strong extratropical cyclone (formerly Tammy) associated with an
occluded front is located a few hundred miles east of Bermuda. This
system is forecast to become separated from the front later today,
and environmental conditions are forecast to become more conducive
over the northwestern Atlantic to the east of Bermuda through
Saturday. Regardless of tropical redevelopment, the system is likely
to bring gusty winds and heavy rainfall to Bermuda during the next
couple of days. Interests on Bermuda should monitor the progress of
this system. For additional information, including storm and gale
warnings, see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather
Service and products from the Bermuda Weather Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent.
2. Western Caribbean Sea:
A broad area of low pressure is forecast to develop over the
southwestern Caribbean Sea during the next few days. Environmental
conditions could support some slow development of this system early
next week while it moves generally northward over western or central
portions of the basin.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.
High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service
can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01
KWBC, and online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php
Forecaster Kelly