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Tropical Weather Outlook Text


Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Wed May 31 2023

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. Eastern Gulf of Mexico (AL91):
An area of low pressure over the eastern Gulf of Mexico is 
producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms mainly to the 
northeast of the center. Environmental conditions appear marginally 
favorable for some slow development over the next day or two as the 
system meanders over the eastern or northeastern Gulf of Mexico. 
However, by this weekend environmental conditions are forecast to 
become unfavorable for additional development as the system drifts 
southeastward towards the Florida Peninsula. Regardless of 
development, the system could produce heavy rainfall and gusty winds 
over portions of the Florida Peninsula through this weekend. An Air 
Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft is scheduled to investigate 
the system on Thursday, if necessary. Additional information on the 
rainfall and flooding potential can be found in products issued by 
your local National Weather Service forecast office and Excessive 
Rainfall Outlooks issued by the Weather Prediction Center.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.

Forecaster Beven

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