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Hurricane Epsilon Special Discussion Number 11
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL272020
200 PM AST Wed Oct 21 2020
An Air Force Hurricane Hunter aircraft found that Hurricane Epsilon
is significantly stronger than was previously analyzed. A blend of
the flight-level and surface wind data supports an intensity of 95
kt. The intensity forecast has been adjusted upward during the first
12-24 h to account for this new data. It is possible that Epsilon
could strengthen a little more and become a major hurricane later
today before conditions become less conducive tomorrow.
No changes were made to the track forecast at this time.
1. Tropical storm conditions are expected on Bermuda beginning
later today and continuing intermittently through late Thursday,
when Epsilon is forecast to make its closest approach east of the
island. A Tropical Storm Warning has been issued for Bermuda.
2. Dangerous surf and rip currents are likely occurring along the
coasts of Bermuda, the Bahamas, the Greater Antilles, and the
Leeward Islands. These conditions are expected to spread to
portions of the east coast of the United States and Atlantic Canada
during the next couple of days.
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INIT 21/1800Z 29.4N 59.7W 95 KT 110 MPH
12H 22/0000Z 29.6N 60.1W 95 KT 110 MPH
24H 22/1200Z 30.9N 60.8W 90 KT 105 MPH
36H 23/0000Z 32.3N 61.2W 85 KT 100 MPH
48H 23/1200Z 33.7N 61.6W 80 KT 90 MPH
60H 24/0000Z 35.0N 61.6W 80 KT 90 MPH
72H 24/1200Z 36.6N 60.6W 75 KT 85 MPH
96H 25/1200Z 42.0N 51.5W 70 KT 80 MPH
120H 26/1200Z 49.5N 33.0W 65 KT 75 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP