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Hurricane Epsilon Special Discussion Number  11
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL272020
200 PM AST Wed Oct 21 2020
 
An Air Force Hurricane Hunter aircraft found that Hurricane Epsilon 
is significantly stronger than was previously analyzed. A blend of 
the flight-level and surface wind data supports an intensity of 95 
kt. The intensity forecast has been adjusted upward during the first 
12-24 h to account for this new data. It is possible that Epsilon 
could strengthen a little more and become a major hurricane later 
today before conditions become less conducive tomorrow. 

No changes were made to the track forecast at this time.
 
Key Messages:
 
1.  Tropical storm conditions are expected on Bermuda beginning
later today and continuing intermittently through late Thursday,
when Epsilon is forecast to make its closest approach east of the
island. A Tropical Storm Warning has been issued for Bermuda.
 
2. Dangerous surf and rip currents are likely occurring along the
coasts of Bermuda, the Bahamas, the Greater Antilles, and the
Leeward Islands.  These conditions are expected to spread to
portions of the east coast of the United States and Atlantic Canada
during the next couple of days.
 
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INIT  21/1800Z 29.4N  59.7W   95 KT 110 MPH
 12H  22/0000Z 29.6N  60.1W   95 KT 110 MPH
 24H  22/1200Z 30.9N  60.8W   90 KT 105 MPH
 36H  23/0000Z 32.3N  61.2W   85 KT 100 MPH
 48H  23/1200Z 33.7N  61.6W   80 KT  90 MPH
 60H  24/0000Z 35.0N  61.6W   80 KT  90 MPH
 72H  24/1200Z 36.6N  60.6W   75 KT  85 MPH
 96H  25/1200Z 42.0N  51.5W   70 KT  80 MPH
120H  26/1200Z 49.5N  33.0W   65 KT  75 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
 
$$
Forecaster Reinhart/Blake
 
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