Tropical Depression KARINA
ZCZC MIATCDEP1 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL DEPRESSION KARINA DISCUSSION NUMBER 54
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP112014
200 AM PDT TUE AUG 26 2014
Karina continues to produce sufficient organized convection to be
considered a tropical cyclone despite ongoing easterly vertical
wind shear caused by the upper-level outflow from Hurricane Marie.
The initial intensity remains 30 kt, in agreement with a partial
ASCAT pass and satellite intensity estimates from TAFB and SAB. Due
to the ongoing shear, Karina is expected to degenerate into a
remnant low soon, and then be absorbed into the much larger Marie in
24 hours or so.
The initial motion is 100/3. The cyclone is embedded in westerly
flow feeding into Marie, and a general east-southeastward motion
with some increase in forward speed is expected until the cyclone
is absorbed.
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INIT 26/0900Z 17.0N 127.1W 30 KT 35 MPH
12H 26/1800Z 16.6N 126.2W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
24H 27/0600Z...ABSORBED BY HURRICANE MARIE
$$
Forecaster Beven
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