Tropical Depression HECTOR
ZCZC MIATCDEP3 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL DEPRESSION HECTOR DISCUSSION NUMBER 20
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP082012
200 AM PDT THU AUG 16 2012
ONE BAND HAS DEVELOPED ON THE WESTERN SIDE OF HECTOR...ENOUGH TO
KEEP IT A TROPICAL CYCLONE FOR NOW. THE DEPRESSION WILL BE
MAINTAINED AS A 25 KT SYSTEM...WHICH IS IN AGREEMENT WITH THE
SATELLITE ESTIMATES FROM TAFB. HECTOR IS MOVING OVER PROGRESSIVELY
COOLER SSTS IN A SHEARED ENVIRONMENT...WHICH SHOULD PROMOTE
FURTHER WEAKENING. THE CYCLONE IS EXPECTED TO DECAY TO A REMNANT
LOW WITHIN 12 TO 24 HOURS. THE INITIAL MOTION HAS BENT A LITTLE
MORE TO THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 335/4. THIS GENERAL PATH IS
FORECAST UNTIL THE LOW PRESSURE AREA DISSIPATES IN A FEW DAYS OR
SO...AND ONLY A SMALL WESTWARD ADJUSTMENT WAS MADE WITH THE LATEST
NHC TRACK FORECAST.
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INIT 16/0900Z 19.0N 115.8W 25 KT 30 MPH
12H 16/1800Z 19.9N 116.1W 25 KT 30 MPH
24H 17/0600Z 20.8N 116.5W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
36H 17/1800Z 21.7N 116.9W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
48H 18/0600Z 22.4N 117.2W 15 KT 15 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
72H 19/0600Z 23.0N 117.5W 15 KT 15 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
96H 20/0600Z...DISSIPATED
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE
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