ZCZC MIATCDEP3 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM TROPICAL DEPRESSION HECTOR DISCUSSION NUMBER 20 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP082012 200 AM PDT THU AUG 16 2012 ONE BAND HAS DEVELOPED ON THE WESTERN SIDE OF HECTOR...ENOUGH TO KEEP IT A TROPICAL CYCLONE FOR NOW. THE DEPRESSION WILL BE MAINTAINED AS A 25 KT SYSTEM...WHICH IS IN AGREEMENT WITH THE SATELLITE ESTIMATES FROM TAFB. HECTOR IS MOVING OVER PROGRESSIVELY COOLER SSTS IN A SHEARED ENVIRONMENT...WHICH SHOULD PROMOTE FURTHER WEAKENING. THE CYCLONE IS EXPECTED TO DECAY TO A REMNANT LOW WITHIN 12 TO 24 HOURS. THE INITIAL MOTION HAS BENT A LITTLE MORE TO THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 335/4. THIS GENERAL PATH IS FORECAST UNTIL THE LOW PRESSURE AREA DISSIPATES IN A FEW DAYS OR SO...AND ONLY A SMALL WESTWARD ADJUSTMENT WAS MADE WITH THE LATEST NHC TRACK FORECAST. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 16/0900Z 19.0N 115.8W 25 KT 30 MPH 12H 16/1800Z 19.9N 116.1W 25 KT 30 MPH 24H 17/0600Z 20.8N 116.5W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 36H 17/1800Z 21.7N 116.9W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 48H 18/0600Z 22.4N 117.2W 15 KT 15 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 72H 19/0600Z 23.0N 117.5W 15 KT 15 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 96H 20/0600Z...DISSIPATED $$ FORECASTER BLAKE NNNN
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Page last modified: Monday, 31-Dec-2012 12:10:24 UTC