Tropical Storm IVO
ZCZC MIAPWSEP2 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL STORM IVO WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 19
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP122007
0300 UTC SUN SEP 23 2007
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM IVO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
22.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 111.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
40 KTS...45 MPH...75 KM/HR.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
00Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
CABO SAN LUCAS 34 1 5( 6) 4(10) X(10) 1(11) X(11) X(11)
SAN JOSE CABO 34 X 5( 5) 5(10) X(10) 1(11) X(11) X(11)
LA PAZ 34 1 5( 6) 5(11) 1(12) 1(13) X(13) X(13)
LOS MOCHIS 34 X X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
CULICAN 34 X 1( 1) 4( 5) 1( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 226N 1113W 34 67 2(69) 1(70) 1(71) X(71) X(71) X(71)
12 226N 1113W 50 1 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
12 226N 1113W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
24 231N 1107W 34 10 11(21) 2(23) X(23) 1(24) X(24) X(24)
24 231N 1107W 50 X 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
24 231N 1107W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
36 237N 1100W 34 1 5( 6) 7(13) X(13) 1(14) X(14) X(14)
36 237N 1100W 50 X 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
36 237N 1100W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
48 240N 1097W 34 X 4( 4) 7(11) 1(12) X(12) X(12) X(12)
48 240N 1097W 50 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
48 240N 1097W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
72 245N 1095W 34 X 2( 2) 6( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
72 245N 1095W 50 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
72 245N 1095W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
96 255N 1095W 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
96 255N 1095W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
96 255N 1095W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 35 35 30 25 20 20 0
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE
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