Tropical Depression THIRTEEN

ZCZC MIAPWSAT3 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
TROPICAL DEPRESSION THIRTEEN WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   7    
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL132007               
0900 UTC THU SEP 27 2007                                            
                                                                    
AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION THIRTEEN WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 20.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 95.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED    
WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/HR.                              
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        06Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT                     
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY                    
   PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
GFMX 250N 960W 34  X   1( 1)   1( 2)   2( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
LA PESCO MX    34  X   1( 1)   4( 5)   2( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 
TAMPICO MX     34  X   5( 5)  12(17)   5(22)   X(22)   X(22)   X(22)
TAMPICO MX     50  X   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
TUXPAN MX      34  2  14(16)  19(35)   4(39)   X(39)   X(39)   X(39)
TUXPAN MX      50  X   1( 1)   6( 7)   1( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
 
VERACRUZ MX    34  1   9(10)   7(17)   2(19)   X(19)   X(19)   X(19)
 
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 HR POSITIONS  KT                                                   
                                                                    
 12 207N  954W 34 23  23(46)   5(51)   1(52)   X(52)   X(52)   X(52)
 12 207N  954W 50  1   5( 6)   2( 8)   1( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)
 12 207N  954W 64  X   1( 1)   X( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 
 24 206N  960W 34 14  28(42)   8(50)   2(52)   X(52)   X(52)   X(52)
 24 206N  960W 50  1   5( 6)   4(10)   1(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)
 24 206N  960W 64  X   1( 1)   X( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 
 36 206N  971W 34  3  17(20)  18(38)   4(42)   X(42)   X(42)   X(42)
 36 206N  971W 50  X   2( 2)   5( 7)   3(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)
 36 206N  971W 64  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 
 48 209N  987W 34  X   3( 3)  15(18)   5(23)   X(23)   X(23)   X(23)
 48 209N  987W 50  X   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 48 209N  987W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
               - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND     35     45      50      30       0       0       0
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 
                                                                    
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER BEVEN                                                    
                                                                    
                                                                    
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