ZCZC MIAPWSAT3 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM TROPICAL DEPRESSION THIRTEEN WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 7 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132007 0900 UTC THU SEP 27 2007 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION THIRTEEN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 95.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/HR. CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT GFMX 250N 960W 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) LA PESCO MX 34 X 1( 1) 4( 5) 2( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) TAMPICO MX 34 X 5( 5) 12(17) 5(22) X(22) X(22) X(22) TAMPICO MX 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) TUXPAN MX 34 2 14(16) 19(35) 4(39) X(39) X(39) X(39) TUXPAN MX 50 X 1( 1) 6( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) VERACRUZ MX 34 1 9(10) 7(17) 2(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - HR POSITIONS KT 12 207N 954W 34 23 23(46) 5(51) 1(52) X(52) X(52) X(52) 12 207N 954W 50 1 5( 6) 2( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) 12 207N 954W 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 24 206N 960W 34 14 28(42) 8(50) 2(52) X(52) X(52) X(52) 24 206N 960W 50 1 5( 6) 4(10) 1(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) 24 206N 960W 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 36 206N 971W 34 3 17(20) 18(38) 4(42) X(42) X(42) X(42) 36 206N 971W 50 X 2( 2) 5( 7) 3(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) 36 206N 971W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 48 209N 987W 34 X 3( 3) 15(18) 5(23) X(23) X(23) X(23) 48 209N 987W 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) 48 209N 987W 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - - FCST MAX WIND 35 45 50 30 0 0 0 FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) $$ FORECASTER BEVEN NNNN
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Page last modified: Friday, 02-Nov-2007 21:20:51 UTC