Tropical Storm HECTOR

ZCZC MIAPWSEP4 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
TROPICAL STORM HECTOR WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   7           
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP092006               
0900 UTC THU AUG 17 2006                                            
                                                                    
AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM HECTOR WAS LOCATED NEAR       
LATITUDE 14.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 119.6 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED   
WINDS NEAR 60 KTS...70 MPH...110 KM/HR.                             
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        06Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT                     
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY                    
   PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT  7 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
 
...THERE ARE NO LOCATIONS WITH TOTAL ACCUMLATED 5 DAY PROBABILITIES
                  GREATER THAN 2 PERCENT...
 
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 HR POSITIONS  KT                                                   
                                                                    
 12 150N 1210W 34 96   2(98)   X(98)   X(98)   X(98)   X(98)   X(98)
 12 150N 1210W 50 60  14(74)   X(74)   X(74)   X(74)   X(74)   X(74)
 12 150N 1210W 64 29  13(42)   X(42)   X(42)   X(42)   X(42)   X(42)
 
 24 158N 1230W 34 17  65(82)   7(89)   1(90)   X(90)   X(90)   X(90)
 24 158N 1230W 50  1  42(43)  10(53)   1(54)   X(54)   X(54)   X(54)
 24 158N 1230W 64  X  19(19)   6(25)   1(26)   X(26)   X(26)   X(26)
 
 36 166N 1250W 34  2  23(25)  39(64)   7(71)   2(73)   X(73)   X(73)
 36 166N 1250W 50  X   3( 3)  24(27)   7(34)   1(35)   X(35)   X(35)
 36 166N 1250W 64  X   1( 1)  10(11)   2(13)   X(13)   X(13)   X(13)
 
 48 174N 1271W 34  X   3( 3)  19(22)  23(45)   8(53)   X(53)   X(53)
 48 174N 1271W 50  X   X( X)   3( 3)  12(15)   4(19)   X(19)   X(19)
 48 174N 1271W 64  X   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
 
 72 195N 1305W 34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)  18(22)   4(26)   1(27)
 72 195N 1305W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)
 72 195N 1305W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 
 
 96 210N 1330W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)   4(10)   2(12)
 96 210N 1330W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   X( 2)
 96 210N 1330W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
 
120 230N 1350W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   1( 5)
120 230N 1350W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
120 230N 1350W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
               - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND     70     75      70      60      50      35      25
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 
                                                                    
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER BEVEN                                                    
                                                                    
                                                                    
NNNN