ZCZC MIAPWSEP4 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM TROPICAL STORM HECTOR WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 7 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP092006 0900 UTC THU AUG 17 2006 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM HECTOR WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 119.6 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 60 KTS...70 MPH...110 KM/HR. CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT ...THERE ARE NO LOCATIONS WITH TOTAL ACCUMLATED 5 DAY PROBABILITIES GREATER THAN 2 PERCENT... - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - HR POSITIONS KT 12 150N 1210W 34 96 2(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) 12 150N 1210W 50 60 14(74) X(74) X(74) X(74) X(74) X(74) 12 150N 1210W 64 29 13(42) X(42) X(42) X(42) X(42) X(42) 24 158N 1230W 34 17 65(82) 7(89) 1(90) X(90) X(90) X(90) 24 158N 1230W 50 1 42(43) 10(53) 1(54) X(54) X(54) X(54) 24 158N 1230W 64 X 19(19) 6(25) 1(26) X(26) X(26) X(26) 36 166N 1250W 34 2 23(25) 39(64) 7(71) 2(73) X(73) X(73) 36 166N 1250W 50 X 3( 3) 24(27) 7(34) 1(35) X(35) X(35) 36 166N 1250W 64 X 1( 1) 10(11) 2(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) 48 174N 1271W 34 X 3( 3) 19(22) 23(45) 8(53) X(53) X(53) 48 174N 1271W 50 X X( X) 3( 3) 12(15) 4(19) X(19) X(19) 48 174N 1271W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) 72 195N 1305W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 18(22) 4(26) 1(27) 72 195N 1305W 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) 72 195N 1305W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 96 210N 1330W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 4(10) 2(12) 96 210N 1330W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) 96 210N 1330W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 120 230N 1350W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 1( 5) 120 230N 1350W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 120 230N 1350W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - - FCST MAX WIND 70 75 70 60 50 35 25 FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) $$ FORECASTER BEVEN NNNN
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Page last modified: Monday, 11-Sep-2006 11:28:42 UTC