Tropical Storm HECTOR

ZCZC MIAPWSEP4 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
TROPICAL STORM HECTOR WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   3           
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP092006               
0900 UTC WED AUG 16 2006                                            
                                                                    
AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM HECTOR WAS LOCATED NEAR       
LATITUDE 13.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 116.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED   
WINDS NEAR 40 KTS...45 MPH...75 KM/HR.                              
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        06Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT                     
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY                    
   PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT  7 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
 
...THERE ARE NO LOCATIONS WITH TOTAL ACCUMLATED 5 DAY PROBABILITIES
                  GREATER THAN 2 PERCENT...
 
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 HR POSITIONS  KT                                                   
                                                                    
 12 134N 1183W 34 85   7(92)   X(92)   X(92)   X(92)   X(92)   X(92)
 12 134N 1183W 50 14  13(27)   X(27)   X(27)   X(27)   X(27)   X(27)
 12 134N 1183W 64  2   2( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
 24 140N 1204W 34  9  63(72)  10(82)   2(84)   X(84)   X(84)   X(84)
 24 140N 1204W 50  X  26(26)  11(37)   1(38)   X(38)   X(38)   X(38)
 24 140N 1204W 64  X   7( 7)   3(10)   1(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)
 
 36 146N 1224W 34  1  20(21)  42(63)  10(73)   3(76)   X(76)   X(76)
 36 146N 1224W 50  X   2( 2)  21(23)  10(33)   1(34)   X(34)   X(34)
 36 146N 1224W 64  X   X( X)   7( 7)   3(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)
 
 48 155N 1240W 34  X   3( 3)  26(29)  25(54)  10(64)   1(65)   X(65)
 48 155N 1240W 50  X   X( X)   5( 5)  15(20)   7(27)   X(27)   X(27)
 48 155N 1240W 64  X   X( X)   1( 1)   6( 7)   2( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)
 
 
 72 175N 1275W 34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)  25(30)   8(38)   X(38)
 72 175N 1275W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   8( 9)   2(11)   X(11)
 72 175N 1275W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)
 
 
 96 195N 1305W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   7( 7)   8(15)   1(16)
 96 195N 1305W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)
 96 195N 1305W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)
 
 
120 210N 1340W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   2( 5)
120 210N 1340W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)
120 210N 1340W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
               - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND     50     60      65      70      60      45      30
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 
                                                                    
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER FRANKLIN                                                 
                                                                    
                                                                    
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