ZCZC MIAPWSEP4 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM TROPICAL STORM HECTOR WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 3 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP092006 0900 UTC WED AUG 16 2006 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM HECTOR WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 116.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 40 KTS...45 MPH...75 KM/HR. CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT ...THERE ARE NO LOCATIONS WITH TOTAL ACCUMLATED 5 DAY PROBABILITIES GREATER THAN 2 PERCENT... - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - HR POSITIONS KT 12 134N 1183W 34 85 7(92) X(92) X(92) X(92) X(92) X(92) 12 134N 1183W 50 14 13(27) X(27) X(27) X(27) X(27) X(27) 12 134N 1183W 64 2 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) 24 140N 1204W 34 9 63(72) 10(82) 2(84) X(84) X(84) X(84) 24 140N 1204W 50 X 26(26) 11(37) 1(38) X(38) X(38) X(38) 24 140N 1204W 64 X 7( 7) 3(10) 1(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) 36 146N 1224W 34 1 20(21) 42(63) 10(73) 3(76) X(76) X(76) 36 146N 1224W 50 X 2( 2) 21(23) 10(33) 1(34) X(34) X(34) 36 146N 1224W 64 X X( X) 7( 7) 3(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) 48 155N 1240W 34 X 3( 3) 26(29) 25(54) 10(64) 1(65) X(65) 48 155N 1240W 50 X X( X) 5( 5) 15(20) 7(27) X(27) X(27) 48 155N 1240W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 2( 9) X( 9) X( 9) 72 175N 1275W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 25(30) 8(38) X(38) 72 175N 1275W 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) 2(11) X(11) 72 175N 1275W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) 96 195N 1305W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 8(15) 1(16) 96 195N 1305W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) 96 195N 1305W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 120 210N 1340W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5) 120 210N 1340W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 120 210N 1340W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - - FCST MAX WIND 50 60 65 70 60 45 30 FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) $$ FORECASTER FRANKLIN NNNN
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Page last modified: Monday, 11-Sep-2006 11:28:42 UTC