Tropical Storm DANIEL

ZCZC MIAPWSEP5 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
TROPICAL STORM DANIEL WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   7           
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP052006               
1500 UTC TUE JUL 18 2006                                            
                                                                    
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM DANIEL WAS LOCATED NEAR       
LATITUDE 12.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 116.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED   
WINDS NEAR 60 KTS...70 MPH...110 KM/HR.                             
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        12Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT                     
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY                    
   PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT  7 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
 
...THERE ARE NO LOCATIONS WITH TOTAL ACCUMLATED 5 DAY PROBABILITIES
                  GREATER THAN 2 PERCENT...
 
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 HR POSITIONS  KT                                                   
                                                                    
 12 122N 1182W 34 92   5(97)   X(97)   X(97)   X(97)   X(97)   X(97)
 12 122N 1182W 50 56  16(72)   1(73)   X(73)   X(73)   X(73)   X(73)
 12 122N 1182W 64 30  13(43)   1(44)   X(44)   X(44)   X(44)   X(44)
 
 24 123N 1200W 34 13  67(80)  10(90)   1(91)   1(92)   X(92)   X(92)
 24 123N 1200W 50  1  45(46)  13(59)   2(61)   1(62)   X(62)   X(62)
 24 123N 1200W 64  X  22(22)  11(33)   2(35)   X(35)   X(35)   X(35)
 
 36 125N 1217W 34  2  29(31)  39(70)  11(81)   4(85)   X(85)   X(85)
 36 125N 1217W 50  X   6( 6)  33(39)  11(50)   4(54)   X(54)   X(54)
 36 125N 1217W 64  X   1( 1)  18(19)   8(27)   3(30)   X(30)   X(30)
 
 48 128N 1233W 34  X   5( 5)  32(37)  27(64)  15(79)   1(80)   X(80)
 48 128N 1233W 50  X   X( X)  12(12)  22(34)  12(46)   1(47)   X(47)
 48 128N 1233W 64  X   X( X)   4( 4)  12(16)   9(25)   X(25)   X(25)
 
 
 72 136N 1265W 34  X   X( X)   2( 2)  11(13)  37(50)  12(62)   1(63)
 72 136N 1265W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)  19(22)   8(30)   X(30)
 72 136N 1265W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   9(10)   5(15)   X(15)
 
 
 96 145N 1300W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  10(11)  23(34)   4(38)
 96 145N 1300W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)  10(12)   2(14)
 96 145N 1300W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)   1( 6)
 
 
120 155N 1330W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  12(13)   7(20)
120 155N 1330W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   2( 5)
120 155N 1330W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)
 
               - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND     70     80      90     100     100      90      75
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 
                                                                    
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER RHOME/STEWART                                                    
                                                                    
                                                                    
NNNN