ZCZC MIAPWSEP5 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM TROPICAL STORM DANIEL WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 7 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP052006 1500 UTC TUE JUL 18 2006 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM DANIEL WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 12.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 116.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 60 KTS...70 MPH...110 KM/HR. CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT ...THERE ARE NO LOCATIONS WITH TOTAL ACCUMLATED 5 DAY PROBABILITIES GREATER THAN 2 PERCENT... - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - HR POSITIONS KT 12 122N 1182W 34 92 5(97) X(97) X(97) X(97) X(97) X(97) 12 122N 1182W 50 56 16(72) 1(73) X(73) X(73) X(73) X(73) 12 122N 1182W 64 30 13(43) 1(44) X(44) X(44) X(44) X(44) 24 123N 1200W 34 13 67(80) 10(90) 1(91) 1(92) X(92) X(92) 24 123N 1200W 50 1 45(46) 13(59) 2(61) 1(62) X(62) X(62) 24 123N 1200W 64 X 22(22) 11(33) 2(35) X(35) X(35) X(35) 36 125N 1217W 34 2 29(31) 39(70) 11(81) 4(85) X(85) X(85) 36 125N 1217W 50 X 6( 6) 33(39) 11(50) 4(54) X(54) X(54) 36 125N 1217W 64 X 1( 1) 18(19) 8(27) 3(30) X(30) X(30) 48 128N 1233W 34 X 5( 5) 32(37) 27(64) 15(79) 1(80) X(80) 48 128N 1233W 50 X X( X) 12(12) 22(34) 12(46) 1(47) X(47) 48 128N 1233W 64 X X( X) 4( 4) 12(16) 9(25) X(25) X(25) 72 136N 1265W 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 11(13) 37(50) 12(62) 1(63) 72 136N 1265W 50 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 19(22) 8(30) X(30) 72 136N 1265W 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 9(10) 5(15) X(15) 96 145N 1300W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 10(11) 23(34) 4(38) 96 145N 1300W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 10(12) 2(14) 96 145N 1300W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 1( 6) 120 155N 1330W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 12(13) 7(20) 120 155N 1330W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) 120 155N 1330W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - - FCST MAX WIND 70 80 90 100 100 90 75 FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) $$ FORECASTER RHOME/STEWART NNNN
Alternate Formats
About Alternates -
E-Mail Advisories -
RSS Feeds
Cyclone Forecasts
Latest Advisory -
Past Advisories -
About Advisories
Marine Forecasts
Latest Products -
About Marine Products
Tools & Data
Satellite Imagery -
US Weather Radar -
Aircraft Recon -
Local Data Archive -
Forecast Verification -
Deadliest/Costliest/Most Intense
Learn About Hurricanes
Storm Names
Wind Scale -
Prepare -
Climatology -
NHC Glossary -
NHC Acronyms -
Frequently Asked Questions -
AOML Hurricane-Research Division
About Us
About NHC -
Mission/Vision -
Other NCEP Centers -
NHC Staff -
Visitor Information -
NHC Library
NOAA/
National Weather Service
National Centers for Environmental Prediction
National Hurricane Center
11691 SW 17th Street
Miami, Florida, 33165-2149 USA
nhcwebmaster@noaa.gov
Disclaimer
Privacy Policy
Credits
About Us
Glossary
Career Opportunities
Page last modified: Monday, 11-Sep-2006 11:28:40 UTC