Tropical Depression SIXTEEN-E

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TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN-E SPECIAL ADVISORY NUMBER  
1...CORRECTED
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
3 PM PDT MON OCT 25 2004

CORRECTED ADVISORY NUMBER FROM 2 TO 1

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN-E FORMS IN THE SOUTHERN GULF OF
CALIFORNIA...
...PRIMARY THREAT WILL BE HEAVY RAINFALL OVER NORTHWESTERN MEXICO...
 
AT 3 PM PDT...2200Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL
STORM WARNING FOR THE WESTERN COAST OF MEXICO FROM EL ROBLITO
NORTHWARD TO TOPOLOBAMPO.
 
AT 3 PM PDT...2200Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN-E
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 23.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 108.6 WEST OR
ABOUT  100 MILES... 160 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF ALTATA MEXICO. THIS
IS ALSO ABOUT 140 MILES... 225 KM...WEST OF MAZATLAN MEXICO. 
 
THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 18 MPH...30 KM/HR. A
GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST IS EXPECTED TO OCCUR LATER
TONIGHT. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO MAKE
LANDFALL IN THE WARNING AREA EARLY TUESDAY MORNING.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR  35 MPH... 55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  SOME SLIGHT STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 12
HOURS...AND THE DEPRESSION COULD BECOME A TROPICAL STORM PRIOR TO
MAKING LANDFALL.
 
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1004 MB...29.65 INCHES.
 
RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED HIGHER 
AMOUNTS IN MOUNTAINOUS AREAS...CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR THE PATH OF THE
DEPRESSION. THESE RAIN COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS
AND MUD SLIDES.
 
REPEATING THE 3 PM PDT POSITION...23.3 N...108.6 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 18 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 35 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 5 PM PDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT
COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 8 PM PDT.
 
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
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