ZCZC MIATCPEP1 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM CCA BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN-E SPECIAL ADVISORY NUMBER 1...CORRECTED NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 3 PM PDT MON OCT 25 2004 CORRECTED ADVISORY NUMBER FROM 2 TO 1 ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN-E FORMS IN THE SOUTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA... ...PRIMARY THREAT WILL BE HEAVY RAINFALL OVER NORTHWESTERN MEXICO... AT 3 PM PDT...2200Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE WESTERN COAST OF MEXICO FROM EL ROBLITO NORTHWARD TO TOPOLOBAMPO. AT 3 PM PDT...2200Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN-E WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 23.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 108.6 WEST OR ABOUT 100 MILES... 160 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF ALTATA MEXICO. THIS IS ALSO ABOUT 140 MILES... 225 KM...WEST OF MAZATLAN MEXICO. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 18 MPH...30 KM/HR. A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST IS EXPECTED TO OCCUR LATER TONIGHT. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL IN THE WARNING AREA EARLY TUESDAY MORNING. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH... 55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME SLIGHT STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 12 HOURS...AND THE DEPRESSION COULD BECOME A TROPICAL STORM PRIOR TO MAKING LANDFALL. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1004 MB...29.65 INCHES. RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS IN MOUNTAINOUS AREAS...CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR THE PATH OF THE DEPRESSION. THESE RAIN COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. REPEATING THE 3 PM PDT POSITION...23.3 N...108.6 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 18 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 35 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 5 PM PDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 8 PM PDT. FORECASTER STEWART $$ NNNN
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Page last modified: Monday, 25-Oct-2004 23:26:20 UTC