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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook



000
ABPZ20 KNHC 200547
TWOEP 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 PM PDT Mon Aug 19 2019

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

A low pressure system located about 200 miles south of the southern
coast of Mexico continues to produce a large area of cloudiness of
thunderstorms. Environmental conditions are conducive for
development, and a tropical depression is likely to form during the
next day or so while the low moves west-northwestward at about 10
mph, parallel to and just offshore of the coast of Mexico. Moisture
associated with this disturbance could produce heavy rainfall and
possible flash flooding across portions of Guatemala and
southeastern Mexico during the next couple of days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.

Another low pressure system located more than 900 miles southwest of
the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula is producing a
disorganized showers and a few thunderstorms. Environmental
conditions are expected to become more conducive for development by
mid-week, and a tropical depression is likely to form during the
next few days while the system moves westward to west-northwestward
at about 10 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.

$$
Forecaster Stewart