ABNT20 KNHC 011139
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Thu Oct 1 2020
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
A tropical wave located over the west-central Caribbean Sea is
producing a large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms.
Conditions are expected to be conducive for development of this
system, and a tropical depression is likely to form over the
northwestern Caribbean Sea or the south-central Gulf of Mexico,
possibly before the system reaches the east coast of the Yucatan
Peninsula on Saturday. Interests in Belize, the Yucatan Peninsula
of Mexico, and western Cuba should monitor the progress of this
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.
Another tropical wave located just east of the Lesser Antilles is
also producing a large area of disorganized showers and
thunderstorms. This wave is forecast to move westward at 15 to 20
mph during the next several days, and environmental conditions
could become a little more conducive for development when the system
is over the central or western Caribbean Sea early next week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.