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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook



000
ABNT20 KNHC 251142
TWOAT 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Sun Aug 25 2019

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Dorian, located several hundred miles east-southeast of
the Lesser Antilles.

Showers and thunderstorms remain disorganized in association with a
trough of low pressure that extends from the southern Florida
peninsula northeastward over the western Atlantic for a few hundred
miles.  Environmental conditions appear conducive for gradual
development, and a tropical or subtropical depression is likely to
form within the next few days while the system moves slowly
northeastward well offshore of the southeastern United States.
Interests along the coasts of South and North Carolina should
continue to monitor the progress of this system.  An Air Force
Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft is scheduled to investigate the
disturbance this afternoon, if necessary.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.

&&
Public Advisories on Dorian are issued under WMO header WTNT35 KNHC
and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT5.  Forecast/Advisories on Dorian
are issued under WMO header WTNT25 KNHC and under AWIPS header
MIATCMAT5.

$$
Forecaster Beven