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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Discussion



000
AXPZ20 KNHC 160323
TWDEP

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0405 UTC Tue Aug 16 2022

Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from
03.4S to 30N, east of 120W including the Gulf of California, and
from the Equator to 30N, between 120W and 140W. The following
information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations,
radar, and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0300 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURE...

Recently downgraded Tropical Depression Ivette is centered near
Clarion Islands at 17.6N 114.4W at 16/0300 UTC moving W at 3 kt.
Estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb. Maximum sustained
wind speed is 30 kt with gusts to 40 kt. Scattered moderate 
isolated strong convection is noted within 60 to 90 nm SW of the 
center. Seas are peaking near 9 ft. Ivette Is forecast to slowly 
drift westward and weaken to a remnant low on Tuesday.

Please read the latest NHC Public Advisory at
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIATCPEP5.shtml and Forecast/
Advisory at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIATCMEP5.shtml for
more details.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A tropical wave is along 80W north of 05N, moving west at 10 to
15 kt. No significant convection is evident near the wave axis
over Pacific waters.

A tropical wave has its axis near 93W north of 05N, moving west 
at around 10 kt. Scattered moderate convection is along the wave
axis near 12N.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

The monsoon trough extends from 10N86W to 09N95W to 13N105W. It 
continues from 11N115W to 13N135W to 11N140W. Scattered moderate
isolated strong convection is noted from 10N to 13N east of 88W.

OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO...

Refer to the Special Features section for details on T.S. Ivette.

Outside of T.D. Ivette, gentle to moderate NW winds prevail off 
Baja California north of Cabo San Lazaro. Seas are 5 to 6 ft 
north of Punta Eugenia in NW swell. Light to gentle breezes are 
noted elsewhere, with 3 to 5 ft seas in open waters in mostly SW 
swell south of 20N, and NW to N swell north of 20N. Light winds 
and slight seas are noted in the Gulf of California.

For the forecast, Outside of T.S. Ivette, gentle to moderate 
winds and slight to moderate seas will persist through Sat. 

OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, AND 
WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR... 

Light to gentle breezes persist north of 05N, with 3 to 5 ft 
seas. Gentle to moderate SW winds and 5 to 8 ft seas in SW swell
are noted south of 05N. 

For the forecast, moderate SW winds will prevail across the 
offshore waters between Ecuador and the Galapagos Island through 
the forecast period. SW swell in this region will continue to 
spread northward towards the Central America offshore waters 
south of 05N through the week. Light to gentle winds and moderate
seas will prevail across the northern Central America offshore 
waters through mid- week. Looking ahead, fresh winds may pulse 
across the Gulf of Papagayo and the coast of Nicaragua by late 
Thu.

REMAINDER OF THE AREA...

Refer to the Special Features section above for details on T.S. 
Ivette.

Elsewhere, a broad surface ridge dominates the waters north of 
the monsoon trough and west of 120W. Gentle to moderate NE to E 
winds are north of the monsoon trough and west of 120W, where 
seas are 4-7 ft. Moderate S to SW winds are S of the monsoon 
trough with seas in the 5 to 7 ft range.

For the forecast, aside from T.D. Ivette, no major changes are 
expected elsewhere through the middle of next week.

$$
Christensen