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Hurricane Epsilon Public Advisory


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000
WTNT32 KNHC 211741
TCPAT2

BULLETIN
Hurricane Epsilon Special Advisory Number  11
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL272020
200 PM AST Wed Oct 21 2020

...AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT FINDS EPSILON IS STILL 
RAPIDLY INTENSIFYING...
...COULD BECOME A MAJOR HURRICANE LATER TODAY...


SUMMARY OF 200 PM AST...1800 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...29.4N 59.7W
ABOUT 365 MI...585 KM ESE OF BERMUDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...110 MPH...175 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...959 MB...28.32 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Bermuda

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 200 PM AST (1800 UTC), the eye of Hurricane Epsilon was located 
near latitude 29.4 North, longitude 59.7 West. Epsilon is moving 
toward the west-northwest near 9 mph (15 km/h). A turn toward the 
northwest is expected tonight, followed by a turn toward the north 
by Thursday night. On the forecast track, the center of Epsilon is 
forecast to make its closest approach to Bermuda Thursday afternoon 
or evening.

An Air Force Hurricane Hunter aircraft has found that maximum 
sustained winds have increased to near 110 mph (175 km/h) with 
higher gusts.  Some additional strengthening is possible this 
afternoon, followed by little change in strength or gradual 
weakening into the weekend.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 25 miles (35 km) from the
center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 435 miles
(705 km).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 959 mb (28.32 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND:  Tropical storm conditions are expected on Bermuda beginning
later today and continuing intermittently through late Thursday.

SURF:  Large swells generated by Epsilon are affecting Bermuda, the 
Bahamas, the Greater Antilles, and the Leeward Islands, and are 
expected to reach portions of the east coast of the United States 
and Atlantic Canada during the next couple of days.  These swells 
are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current 
conditions.  Please consult products from your local weather office.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 200 PM AST.
Next complete advisory at 500 PM AST.

$$
Forecaster Reinhart/Blake