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000
WTPZ22 KNHC 022038
TCMEP2

TROPICAL STORM FLOSSIE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  22
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP072019
2100 UTC FRI AUG 02 2019

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.5N 139.5W AT 02/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT  15 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  994 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT.
50 KT....... 60NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT.......120NE 120SE  30SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS..225NE 165SE 120SW 135NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.5N 139.5W AT 02/2100Z
AT 02/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.3N 138.8W

FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 18.0N 141.7W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...110NE 100SE  30SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 18.7N 144.3W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE   0SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 19.3N 146.7W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 70NE  40SE   0SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 19.7N 148.9W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  40SE   0SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 21.5N 153.4W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 06/1800Z 25.5N 156.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 07/1800Z 29.0N 156.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.5N 139.5W

THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM.  FUTURE INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE
FOUND IN FORECAST/ADVISORIES ISSUED BY THE CENTRAL PACIFIC
HURRICANE CENTER BEGINNING AT 0300 UTC...UNDER AWIPS HEADER
HFOTCMCP2...WMO HEADER WTPA22 PHFO.

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN