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Post-Tropical Cyclone Barbara Wind Speed Probabilities


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000
FOPZ12 KNHC 061433
PWSEP2

POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE BARBARA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  25   
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP022019               
1500 UTC SAT JUL 06 2019                                            

AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE BARBARA WAS LOCATED    
NEAR LATITUDE 18.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 139.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM        
SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/H.                     

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        12Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY              
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                 


  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   

               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU

FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   

20N 140W       34 11   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)

20N 145W       34  X   8( 8)   2(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)

20N 150W       34  X   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

20N 151W       34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

BUOY 51004     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   7( 7)   3(10)   X(10)   X(10)

18N 156W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)

SOUTH POINT    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

$$                                                                  
FORECASTER AVILA