Skip Navigation Links
NOAA NOAA United States Department of Commerce

Hurricane Humberto Wind Speed Probabilities


Home   Public Adv   Fcst Adv   Discussion   Wind Probs   Graphics   Archive  


000
FONT14 KNHC 180255
PWSAT4

HURRICANE HUMBERTO WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  22
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL092019
0300 UTC WED SEP 18 2019

AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE HUMBERTO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
31.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 71.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
100 KTS...115 MPH...185 KM/H.

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
        00Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.


  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -

               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM
  TIME       00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO
             12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON

FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION       KT

HIBERNIA OILFD 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  11(11)   X(11)
HIBERNIA OILFD 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)

CAPE RACE NFLD 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   8(13)   X(13)
CAPE RACE NFLD 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)

ILE ST PIERRE  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   7( 7)   2( 9)   X( 9)

BURGEO NFLD    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

PTX BASQUES    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)

SYDNEY NS      34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)

SABLE ISLAND   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)  24(26)   1(27)   X(27)
SABLE ISLAND   50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)

BERMUDA        34  4  91(95)   1(96)   X(96)   X(96)   X(96)   X(96)
BERMUDA        50  X  58(58)   2(60)   X(60)   X(60)   X(60)   X(60)
BERMUDA        64  X  13(13)   1(14)   X(14)   X(14)   X(14)   X(14)

$$
FORECASTER PASCH