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Atlantic 5-Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook

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This product is updated at approximately 2 AM, 8 AM, 2 PM, and 8 PM EDT from May 15 to November 30, with special outlooks issued at any time as conditions warrant. The graphic displays all currently active tropical cyclones, and disturbances with tropical cyclone formation potential over the next five days. Mousing over the symbol for each weather system displays details for that system; clicking on disturbance symbols or numbers toggles a zoomed view on or off. For additional NHC products on active tropical cyclones, click on the tropical cyclone symbols.

Tropical Weather Outlook Text

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Thu Aug 18 2022

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. Southwestern Gulf of Mexico:
Scattered showers and thunderstorms are associated with a tropical 
wave located over southeastern Mexico that is expected to emerge 
into the Bay of Campeche tomorrow morning. Environmental conditions 
appear favorable for additional development, and a tropical 
depression could form while the system moves northwestward over the 
southwestern Gulf of Mexico on Friday or Saturday. However, by 
Saturday night, the system is expected to move inland over 
northeastern Mexico, which will end its chances of development. An 
Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft is scheduled to 
investigate the system tomorrow, if necessary.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.

Forecaster Flynn/Papin