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Tropical Weather Outlook Text

ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM CCA

Tropical Weather Outlook...Corrected
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Mon Sep 27 2021

Corrected geographic reference for the remnants of Peter

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane 
Sam, located several hundred miles east of the Lesser Antilles.

1. The area of low pressure associated with the remnants of Peter is 
located a few miles east of Bermuda.  The low has become better 
defined today, and the shower and thunderstorm activity has become a 
little better organized.  Any further increase in organization could 
result in the formation of a short-lived tropical depression, while 
it moves northeastward at about 10 mph.  By Wednesday, environmental 
conditions are expected to become unfavorable for further 
development.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent.

2. A broad area of low pressure located several hundred miles southwest 
of the Cabo Verde Islands is producing disorganized showers and 
thunderstorms.  Environmental conditions are conducive for further 
development of this disturbance, and a tropical depression is likely 
to form in a few of days while it moves westward to 
west-northwestward at 5 to 10 mph over the central tropical 
Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.

3. A tropical wave located just offshore the west coast of Africa is 
producing a large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms.  
Upper-level winds are conducive for gradual development, and a 
tropical depression is likely to form in a few days while the system 
moves westward to west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph over the far 
eastern tropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.

Forecaster Hagen/Pasch




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